Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 47.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 26.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
