Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Crotone win was 0-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
SPAL	Draw	Crotone
51.57%	23.61%	24.83%

Both teams to score 56.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.04%

44.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.69%

67.31%

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.54%

17.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.07%

47.93%

Crotone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.99%

32.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.53%

68.47%

Score Analysis

SPAL 51.57%

Crotone 24.83%

Draw 23.61%

SPAL	Draw	Crotone
1-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 9.7% 2-0 @ 8.51% 3-1 @ 5.64% 3-0 @ 4.95% 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.77% Total : 51.57%	1-1 @ 11.11% 0-0 @ 5.59% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.61%	0-1 @ 6.37% 1-2 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.63% Total : 24.83%