Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 64.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.
