Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 64.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 13.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	SPAL
64.82%	21.22%	13.96%

Both teams to score 45.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.71%

50.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.76%

72.23%

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.21%

14.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.94%

43.05%

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.82%

47.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.38%

82.62%

Score Analysis

Lecce 64.81%

SPAL 13.96%

Draw 21.21%

Lecce	Draw	SPAL
1-0 @ 13.33% 2-0 @ 12.74% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 6.1% 4-0 @ 3.88% 4-1 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.29% 5-0 @ 1.48% 5-1 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.17% Total : 64.81%	1-1 @ 10.01% 0-0 @ 6.98% 2-2 @ 3.6% Other @ 0.63% Total : 21.21%	0-1 @ 5.24% 1-2 @ 3.76% 0-2 @ 1.97% 1-3 @ 0.94% 2-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.14% Total : 13.96%