Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vicenza win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vicenza win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vicenza would win this match.
