Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Parma had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
