Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vicenza win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vicenza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Crotone win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.