SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.2%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Porto |
18.27% ( 0.82) | 23.31% ( 0.34) | 58.42% ( -1.15) |
| Both teams to score 47.89% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.65% ( -0.12) | 51.35% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.83% ( -0.1) | 73.17% ( 0.11) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.91% ( 0.92) | 42.09% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.49% ( 0.78) | 78.51% ( -0.77) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.7% ( -0.44) | 17.3% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.34% ( -0.79) | 47.66% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chaves | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.86% Total : 18.27% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 11.2% ( -0.28)1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.55% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.62% Total : 58.41% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
