SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Belenenses |
50.56% ( 0.27) | 26.06% ( -0.05) | 23.38% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 47.1% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.9% ( 0) | 56.1% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.83% ( 0) | 77.17% ( 0) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( 0.12) | 22.25% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.31% ( 0.18) | 55.69% ( -0.18) |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.58% ( -0.2) | 39.42% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.88% ( -0.19) | 76.12% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Belenenses |
| 1-0 @ 13.18% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 50.56% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.42% Total : 23.38% |
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