Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Arouca |
35.39% (![]() | 26.79% (![]() | 37.81% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.53% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.43% (![]() | 53.57% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.92% (![]() | 75.07% (![]() |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.07% (![]() | 28.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.19% (![]() | 64.81% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.51% (![]() | 27.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.01% (![]() | 62.98% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 9.86% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.9% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.12% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.39% | 1-1 @ 12.73% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.95% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.1% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 10.26% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.23% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.63% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.8% |
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