SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Nacional | 15 | 18 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Boston River | 15 | 4 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 15 | -16 | 12 |
| 15 | Cerrito | 15 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | Albion | 15 | -15 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Albion had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Albion win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Albion |
45.9% ( -0.84) | 26.51% ( 0.72) | 27.59% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.45% ( -2.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.15% ( -2.74) | 54.85% ( 2.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.85% ( -2.31) | 76.15% ( 2.31) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( -1.57) | 23.84% ( 1.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.97% ( -2.3) | 58.03% ( 2.3) |
| Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.94% ( -1.36) | 35.06% ( 1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.19% ( -1.46) | 71.81% ( 1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Albion |
| 1-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.71) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.3)3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.65% Total : 45.9% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.85)2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.29)Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.6) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 27.59% |
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