SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Fenix | 30 | -2 | 42 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 30 | -12 | 33 |
| 12 | Albion | 30 | -16 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 30 | -12 | 33 |
| 12 | Albion | 30 | -16 | 33 |
| 13 | Plaza Colonia | 31 | -8 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 41.52%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Albion had a probability of 28.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%), while for an Albion win it was 0-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Albion |
41.52% ( 0.58) | 30.24% ( -0.21) | 28.24% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 40.02% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.11% ( 0.49) | 66.89% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.81% ( 0.33) | 85.19% ( -0.33) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.09% ( 0.6) | 31.91% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.64% ( 0.68) | 68.36% ( -0.68) |
| Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.78% ( -0.02) | 41.22% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.25% ( -0.02) | 77.75% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Albion |
| 1-0 @ 15.02% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.52% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 13.15% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.23% | 0-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.25% Total : 28.23% |
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