SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Albion had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest Albion win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Albion |
42.57% ( -0.33) | 28.51% ( 0.06) | 28.92% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 44.67% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.67% ( -0.08) | 61.33% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.76% ( -0.06) | 81.24% ( 0.06) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( -0.22) | 28.52% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.7% ( -0.28) | 64.3% ( 0.28) |
| Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.49% ( 0.18) | 37.51% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.71% ( 0.18) | 74.29% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Albion |
| 1-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.63% Total : 42.57% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.5% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 28.92% |
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