SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 15 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Nacional | 15 | 18 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 6 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 15 | -16 | 12 |
| 15 | Cerrito | 15 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | Albion | 15 | -15 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Albion had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for an Albion win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Albion |
60.41% ( -0.03) | 22.81% ( -0) | 16.78% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.61% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.41% ( 0.06) | 51.58% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.62% ( 0.06) | 73.37% ( -0.06) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.31% ( 0.01) | 16.69% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.43% ( 0.02) | 46.57% ( -0.02) |
| Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.95% ( 0.09) | 44.05% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.83% ( 0.07) | 80.16% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Albion |
| 1-0 @ 13.16% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.78% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.15% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 60.41% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.57% Total : 16.78% |
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