Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8

Sep 15, 2022 at 12am UK

Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
1 - 0
Boston River

Candido (49')
Suarez (21'), Carballo (37'), Rodriguez (62'), Coelho (73')
Fagundez (21')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Perez (21'), Fernandez (75'), Corbo (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Boston River.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 15.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.54%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.21%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Boston River
59.68% ( -0)	25.29% ( -0.13)	15.03% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 37.02% (

0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.41% (

0.57)

62.59% (

-0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.83% (

0.41)

82.17% (

-0.41)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.87% (

0.23)

21.13% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.02% (

0.36)

53.98% (

-0.36)

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.94% (

0.54)

53.06% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.31% (

0.34)

86.69% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Nacional 59.67%

Boston River 15.03%

Draw 25.29%

Nacional	Draw	Boston River
1-0 @ 17.42% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 13.54% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 7.02% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.79% Total : 59.67%	0-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.24) 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.32% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.17% Total : 15.03%