Progreso
0 - 1
Cerrito

Bentaberry (41'), Alles (45+1'), Colman (45+3'), Rodriguez (63'), Roldan (82'), Morales (86'), Formento (89'), Gottesman (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Silvera (9')
Silvera (22'), Marcenaro (42'), Eiraldi (65'), Aviles (77'), Ferreira (81'), Rodriguez (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Cerrito.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerrito win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerrito win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cerrito in this match.

Result
Progreso	Draw	Cerrito
30.1%	27.41%	42.49%

Both teams to score 48.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.91%

57.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.03%

77.97%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.69%

34.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.99%

71.01%

Cerrito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.43%

26.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.22%

61.78%

Score Analysis

Progreso 30.1%

Cerrito 42.49%

Draw 27.41%

Progreso	Draw	Cerrito
1-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 6.91% 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.27% Total : 30.1%	1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 9.11% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 12.08% 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 8.01% 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 3.54% 2-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.49%