SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 47.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 25.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Penarol |
25.64% ( -0.02) | 26.74% ( 0.04) | 47.62% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.33% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.13% ( -0.15) | 56.87% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.21% ( -0.12) | 77.79% ( 0.12) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.21% ( -0.11) | 37.79% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.43% ( -0.1) | 74.56% ( 0.1) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.08% ( -0.07) | 23.91% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.87% ( -0.1) | 58.13% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Penarol |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.28% 3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 1.65% Total : 25.64% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.41% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 47.61% |
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