SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 43.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 28.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 1-2 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro | Draw | Fenix |
28.03% ( -0.57) | 28.82% ( -0.19) | 43.15% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 43.4% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.31% ( 0.37) | 62.69% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.76% ( 0.27) | 82.24% ( -0.27) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61% ( -0.26) | 38.99% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.28% ( -0.25) | 75.72% ( 0.25) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( 0.6) | 28.86% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.27% ( 0.74) | 64.73% ( -0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 1.51% Total : 28.02% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.81% | 0-1 @ 13.98% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.17)1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.54% Total : 43.15% |
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