SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Cerro win was 0-1 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Cerro |
| 38.68% | 28.73% | 32.6% |
| Both teams to score 45.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.88% | 61.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.92% | 81.08% |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% | 30.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.1% | 66.9% |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.37% | 34.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.65% | 71.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 12.55% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 7.42% 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-0 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 1.65% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.68% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.61% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.72% | 0-1 @ 11.25% 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 5.97% 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.23% Total : 32.59% |
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