Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Penarol | 31 | 11 | 52 |
4 | Boston River | 30 | 10 | 52 |
5 | Deportivo Maldonado | 31 | 7 | 52 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Defensor Sporting | 30 | 4 | 48 |
8 | Danubio | 30 | 6 | 45 |
9 | Montevideo Wanderers | 31 | 3 | 43 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 48.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Danubio in this match.
Result | ||
Boston River | Draw | Danubio |
22.55% ( 0.37) | 28.85% ( -0.03) | 48.6% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 39.34% ( 0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.34% ( 0.34) | 65.65% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.65% ( 0.23) | 84.34% ( -0.23) |
Boston River Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.23% ( 0.59) | 45.77% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.45% ( 0.46) | 81.54% ( -0.46) |
Danubio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.55% ( -0.01) | 27.45% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.07% ( -0.01) | 62.93% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Boston River | Draw | Danubio |
1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.64% Total : 22.55% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 12.56% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.38% Total : 28.84% | 0-1 @ 16.24% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 10.5% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 1.61% Total : 48.6% |
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