SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 45.83%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.46%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Danubio |
24.29% ( -0.57) | 29.89% ( 0.1) | 45.83% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 38.49% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.47% ( -0.54) | 67.52% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.38% ( -0.36) | 85.62% ( 0.36) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.84% ( -0.86) | 45.16% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.94% ( -0.7) | 81.06% ( 0.7) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.19% ( -0.02) | 29.81% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.1% ( -0.03) | 65.9% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.69% Total : 24.29% | 0-0 @ 13.46% ( 0.27) 1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.35% Total : 29.88% | 0-1 @ 16.29% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.19)1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.28% Total : 45.82% |
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