SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.28%) and 2-1 (7.04%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (12.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Fenix |
36.57% ( -0) | 30.73% ( -0.01) | 32.7% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 40.14% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.6% ( 0.02) | 67.39% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.47% ( 0.01) | 85.53% ( -0.02) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.73% ( 0.01) | 35.27% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.97% ( 0.01) | 72.02% ( -0.02) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.01% ( 0.01) | 37.99% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.24% ( 0.01) | 74.75% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 13.96% 2-0 @ 7.28% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.53% 3-1 @ 2.45% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 36.57% | 1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 13.39% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.72% | 0-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.28% 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 1.68% Total : 32.69% |
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