SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Nacional | 19 | 25 | 40 |
| 3 | Boston River | 19 | 6 | 34 |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 20 | 4 | 32 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Plaza Colonia | 20 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Rentistas | 19 | -10 | 17 |
| 16 | Cerrito | 19 | -22 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Cerrito had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Cerrito win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boston River in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Cerrito |
41.66% ( -0.06) | 27.93% ( -0) | 30.41% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 46.88% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.13% ( 0.02) | 58.87% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.63% ( 0.02) | 79.37% ( -0.02) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.16% ( -0.02) | 27.84% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.56% ( -0.03) | 63.44% ( 0.02) |
| Cerrito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.97% ( 0.06) | 35.02% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.23% ( 0.06) | 71.77% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Cerrito |
| 1-0 @ 12.46% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 41.65% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.93% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 30.41% |
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