Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 51.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Danubio |
51.94% (![]() | 26.08% (![]() | 21.98% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.52% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.65% (![]() | 57.35% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.83% (![]() | 78.17% (![]() |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.82% (![]() | 22.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.42% (![]() | 55.57% (![]() |
Danubio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.49% (![]() | 41.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22% (![]() | 78% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Danubio |
1-0 @ 13.86% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.44% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.18% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.24% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.61% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.74% ( ![]() Other @ 2.87% Total : 51.94% | 1-1 @ 12.19% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.2% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.04% ( ![]() Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.09% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.56% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 1.17% Total : 21.98% |
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