SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Fenix | 27 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Albion | 27 | -14 | 30 |
| 12 | Montevideo City Torque | 27 | -8 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Albion | 27 | -14 | 30 |
| 12 | Montevideo City Torque | 27 | -8 | 26 |
| 13 | Cerro Largo | 27 | -14 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 49.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Albion had a probability of 24.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for an Albion win it was 1-0 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Albion | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
24.98% ( 0.54) | 25.74% ( 0.31) | 49.28% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 49.58% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.35% ( -0.77) | 53.64% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.86% ( -0.65) | 75.14% ( 0.65) |
| Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.4% ( 0.05) | 36.59% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.61% ( 0.05) | 73.38% ( -0.05) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.2% ( -0.68) | 21.79% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45% ( -1.05) | 54.99% ( 1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albion | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.82% Total : 24.98% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.27% Total : 49.28% |
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