SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Deportivo Maldonado | 26 | 4 | 41 |
| 7 | Montevideo Wanderers | 26 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Danubio | 26 | 3 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Fenix | 27 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Albion | 26 | -14 | 29 |
| 12 | Montevideo City Torque | 26 | -5 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 49.51%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Albion had a probability of 24.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for an Albion win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Albion |
49.51% ( 0.1) | 26.34% ( -0) | 24.15% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.11% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.51% ( -0.07) | 56.49% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.52% ( -0.05) | 77.48% ( 0.05) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( 0.02) | 22.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.37% ( 0.02) | 56.63% ( -0.02) |
| Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.09% ( -0.12) | 38.92% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.36% ( -0.11) | 75.64% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Albion |
| 1-0 @ 13.13% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.14% 3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 49.5% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.49% Total : 24.15% |
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