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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Sep 26, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Parque MaracanĂ¡
D

Cerrito
1 - 2
Defensor

Demarco (84')
Perujo (62'), Acevedo (64'), Sastre (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sastre (54' og.), Sant'Anna (60')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerrito and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 3-1 Cerrito
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 0-0 Defensor
Tuesday, September 20 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 69.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 10.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.74%) and 0-3 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Cerrito win it was 1-0 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
CerritoDrawDefensor Sporting
10.44% (1.048 1.05) 19.76% (0.268 0.27) 69.8% (-1.318 -1.32)
Both teams to score 39.18% (2.772 2.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.66% (1.631 1.63)52.33% (-1.633 -1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.97% (1.387 1.39)74.02% (-1.389 -1.39)
Cerrito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.51% (3.168 3.17)54.49% (-3.17 -3.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.42% (1.833 1.83)87.57% (-1.834 -1.83)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.1% (0.107 0.11)13.9% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.67% (0.215 0.21)41.33% (-0.216 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Cerrito 10.44%
    Defensor Sporting 69.78%
    Draw 19.76%
CerritoDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 4.6% (0.151 0.15)
2-1 @ 2.76% (0.348 0.35)
2-0 @ 1.4% (0.172 0.17)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 10.44%
1-1 @ 9.07% (0.333 0.33)
0-0 @ 7.57% (-0.504 -0.5)
2-2 @ 2.72% (0.353 0.35)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 19.76%
0-1 @ 14.94% (-0.93 -0.93)
0-2 @ 14.74% (-0.86 -0.86)
0-3 @ 9.7% (-0.52 -0.52)
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.362 0.36)
1-3 @ 5.89% (0.261 0.26)
0-4 @ 4.79% (-0.238 -0.24)
1-4 @ 2.91% (0.139 0.14)
0-5 @ 1.89% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.239 0.24)
1-5 @ 1.15% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 69.78%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Penarol 3-1 Cerrito
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerrito 0-2 Fenix
Thursday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Cerrito
Friday, September 9 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerrito 1-5 River Plate
Monday, September 5 at 5.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rentistas 3-0 Cerrito
Saturday, August 27 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerrito 0-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, August 20 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 0-0 Defensor
Tuesday, September 20 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 0-1 Cerro Largo
Friday, September 16 at 12.15am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-1 Defensor
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-0 Wanderers
Saturday, September 3 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-1 Defensor
Sunday, August 28 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 0-1 Boston River
Sunday, August 21 at 3.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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