SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 69.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 10.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.74%) and 0-3 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Cerrito win it was 1-0 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerrito | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
10.44% ( 1.05) | 19.76% ( 0.27) | 69.8% ( -1.32) |
| Both teams to score 39.18% ( 2.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.66% ( 1.63) | 52.33% ( -1.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.97% ( 1.39) | 74.02% ( -1.39) |
| Cerrito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.51% ( 3.17) | 54.49% ( -3.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.42% ( 1.83) | 87.57% ( -1.83) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.1% ( 0.11) | 13.9% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.67% ( 0.21) | 41.33% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerrito | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.35)2-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.17)Other @ 1.69% Total : 10.44% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.5)2-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.35)Other @ 0.39% Total : 19.76% | 0-1 @ 14.94% ( -0.93) 0-2 @ 14.74% ( -0.86)0-3 @ 9.7% ( -0.52)1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.36)1-3 @ 5.89% ( 0.26)0-4 @ 4.79% ( -0.24)1-4 @ 2.91% ( 0.14)0-5 @ 1.89% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.24)1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.05% Total : 69.78% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
