Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 47.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Albion had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.62%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for an Albion win it was 1-0 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
