Defensor
1 - 3
Torque

Barrios (38')
Elizari (56')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Morales (18'), Guerrero (42'), Allende (88')
Milesi (8'), Orihuela (54')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Montevideo City Torque.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.

Result
Defensor Sporting	Draw	Montevideo City Torque
28.86%	25.91%	45.22%

Both teams to score 52.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.15%

51.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.39%

73.61%

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.51%

32.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.99%

69.02%

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.13%

22.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.39%

56.61%

Score Analysis

Defensor Sporting 28.86%

Montevideo City Torque 45.22%

Draw 25.91%

Defensor Sporting	Draw	Montevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 8.35% 2-1 @ 6.93% 2-0 @ 4.7% 3-1 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 1.92% 3-0 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.86%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-2 @ 8.09% 1-3 @ 4.47% 0-3 @ 3.98% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.22%