Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Albion had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Albion win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
