SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Montevideo Wanderers | 26 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 25 | 3 | 39 |
| 9 | Danubio | 26 | 3 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Liverpool | 27 | 16 | 50 |
| 3 | Boston River | 25 | 9 | 44 |
| 4 | Penarol | 25 | 10 | 43 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.17%) and 1-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Boston River in this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Boston River |
29.8% ( -0.29) | 29.13% ( 0.03) | 41.07% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 43.42% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.93% ( -0.17) | 63.07% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.48% ( -0.13) | 82.52% ( 0.13) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.22% ( -0.33) | 37.77% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.45% ( -0.32) | 74.55% ( 0.32) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.78% ( 0.07) | 30.22% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.62% ( 0.08) | 66.38% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.69% Total : 29.8% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.11% | 0-1 @ 13.66% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.08)1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.38% Total : 41.07% |
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