SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Cerro Largo | 28 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | Montevideo City Torque | 28 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 | Rentistas | 28 | -21 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Penarol | 28 | 8 | 45 |
| 6 | Deportivo Maldonado | 28 | 5 | 45 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 28 | 4 | 45 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
39.07% ( -3.68) | 27.04% ( -0.3) | 33.89% ( 3.98) |
| Both teams to score 50.55% ( 2.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.28% ( 2.18) | 54.72% ( -2.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.96% ( 1.77) | 76.04% ( -1.78) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% ( -0.98) | 27.32% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.23% ( -1.29) | 62.76% ( 1.29) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.55% ( 3.9) | 30.45% ( -3.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.34% ( 4.4) | 66.65% ( -4.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( -1.27) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 7% ( -1.05)3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.55)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.07% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.73)2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.36)Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.74)0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.72)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.57)0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.49)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.33)Other @ 3.17% Total : 33.89% |
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