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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 4, 2022 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
BR

Cerro Largo
1 - 1
Boston River

Viega (42' og.)
Max (20'), Lima (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mancebo (77')
Olivera (34'), Mancebo (40'), Lopez (70')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Boston River.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 0-5 Cerro Largo
Monday, August 29 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 1-1 Fenix
Friday, August 26 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 40.18%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 29.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.14%) and 1-2 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.39%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawBoston River
29.79% (0.345 0.34) 30.03% (-0.315 -0.32) 40.18% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Both teams to score 41.15% (0.878 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.15% (1 1)65.85% (-1.001 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.52% (0.683 0.68)84.48% (-0.685 -0.69)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.66% (0.849 0.85)39.34% (-0.852 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.96% (0.783 0.78)76.04% (-0.786 -0.79)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.84% (0.504 0.5)32.16% (-0.506 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35% (0.57 0.57)68.65% (-0.572 -0.57)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 29.79%
    Boston River 40.18%
    Draw 30.03%
Cerro LargoDrawBoston River
1-0 @ 11.8% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.143 0.14)
2-0 @ 5.51% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.94% (0.088 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.71% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.1% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 29.79%
1-1 @ 13.39%
0-0 @ 12.65% (-0.47 -0.47)
2-2 @ 3.54% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 30.03%
0-1 @ 14.35% (-0.33 -0.33)
0-2 @ 8.14% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.6% (0.105 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 40.18%

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Form Guide
Last Game: River Plate 0-5 Cerro Largo
Monday, August 29 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerrito 0-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, August 20 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 2-0 Cerro Largo
Friday, August 12 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 1-1 Wanderers
Saturday, August 6 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 1-2 Torque
Sunday, July 31 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-0 River Plate
Monday, July 25 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 1-1 Fenix
Friday, August 26 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 0-1 Boston River
Sunday, August 21 at 3.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 1-2 River Plate
Friday, August 12 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerrito 0-3 Boston River
Saturday, August 6 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 1-1 Boston River
Saturday, July 30 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Boston River
Sunday, July 24 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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