SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 12.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.06%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
65.92% ( 0.75) | 21.62% ( -0.23) | 12.46% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 40.1% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.25% ( -0.17) | 54.75% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.93% ( -0.14) | 76.06% ( 0.14) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.08% ( 0.19) | 15.92% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.82% ( 0.35) | 45.17% ( -0.35) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.69% ( -0.97) | 52.31% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.79% ( -0.64) | 86.2% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 15.3% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 14.06% ( 0.28)2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 65.92% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.62% | 0-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.1% Total : 12.46% |
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