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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest La Luz win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | La Luz |
39.18% ( -0.17) | 27.74% ( -0.05) | 33.08% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 48.27% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.48% ( 0.22) | 57.52% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.69% ( 0.18) | 78.31% ( -0.17) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( 0.02) | 28.59% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.62% ( 0.02) | 64.38% ( -0.01) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.59% ( 0.26) | 32.41% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.08% ( 0.3) | 68.93% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | La Luz |
| 1-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.07% 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 39.18% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 33.07% |
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