SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 45.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.38%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Penarol |
25.81% ( -0) | 28.6% ( 0) | 45.6% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 42.59% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37% ( -0.02) | 63% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.54% ( -0.01) | 82.46% ( 0.01) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.91% ( -0.01) | 41.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.37% ( -0.01) | 77.63% ( 0.01) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% ( -0.01) | 27.71% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.73% ( -0.01) | 63.27% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Penarol |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 5.78% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.5% 3-1 @ 1.71% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.25% Total : 25.8% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0)Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.59% | 0-1 @ 14.61% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.38% ( 0)1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 45.6% |
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