SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a La Luz win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a La Luz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| La Luz | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
40.74% ( 0.56) | 27.03% ( 0.05) | 32.23% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 50.18% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.99% ( -0.35) | 55.01% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.72% ( -0.29) | 76.28% ( 0.29) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( 0.15) | 26.53% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.26% ( 0.19) | 61.74% ( -0.19) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.3% ( -0.6) | 31.7% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.88% ( -0.69) | 68.12% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| La Luz | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.14% Total : 40.74% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.84% Total : 32.23% |
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