SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| La Luz | Draw | Liverpool |
28.58% ( 1.46) | 26.99% ( 0.78) | 44.42% ( -2.24) |
| Both teams to score 48.66% ( -1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.82% ( -2.15) | 56.18% ( 2.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.77% ( -1.77) | 77.23% ( 1.78) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.02% ( 0.02) | 34.98% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.27% ( 0.01) | 71.72% ( -0.01) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( -2.02) | 25.15% ( 2.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.13% ( -2.87) | 59.87% ( 2.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| La Luz | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.74) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.39)3-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.12% Total : 28.58% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.71)2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.4)0-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.38)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.23)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.42% |
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