SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 43.22%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 28.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a La Luz win it was 0-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | La Luz |
43.22% ( -0.07) | 28.55% ( 0.26) | 28.23% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 44.19% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.24% ( -0.94) | 61.75% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.44% ( -0.7) | 81.55% ( 0.7) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% ( -0.48) | 28.37% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.88% ( -0.62) | 64.11% ( 0.62) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.69% ( -0.68) | 38.31% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.93% ( -0.66) | 75.06% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | La Luz |
| 1-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.63% Total : 43.22% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.54% | 0-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.61% Total : 28.22% |
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