SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 44.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 27.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Fenix |
44.47% ( -0.02) | 27.92% ( -0.03) | 27.61% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.49% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.07% ( 0.11) | 59.93% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.81% ( 0.08) | 80.19% ( -0.08) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% ( 0.04) | 26.85% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.84% ( 0.05) | 62.15% ( -0.05) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.19% ( 0.09) | 37.81% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.42% ( 0.09) | 74.58% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 44.46% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.8% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.67% Total : 27.61% |
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