SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 36.1%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (11.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo Maldonado would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Fenix |
36.1% ( 0.06) | 28.79% ( -0.01) | 35.11% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.47% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.9% ( 0.05) | 61.1% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.93% ( 0.04) | 81.07% ( -0.04) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.75% ( 0.07) | 32.25% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.26% ( 0.07) | 68.74% ( -0.07) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.11% ( -0) | 32.89% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.53% ( -0) | 69.47% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 12% 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.09% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.78% | 0-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.11% |
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