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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 50.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
50.57% ( 0.05) | 25.94% ( -0.01) | 23.48% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.53% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.42% ( -0.03) | 55.58% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.25% ( -0.02) | 76.75% ( 0.02) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.97% ( 0.01) | 22.03% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.64% ( 0.02) | 55.36% ( -0.02) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.96% ( -0.06) | 39.03% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.24% ( -0.06) | 75.76% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 13% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0)Other @ 3% Total : 50.56% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 1.47% Total : 23.48% |
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