SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Plaza Colonia | 16 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Albion | 16 | -14 | 14 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 16 | -16 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | River Plate | 16 | 8 | 24 |
| 8 | Montevideo Wanderers | 16 | 6 | 24 |
| 9 | Fenix | 16 | -2 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 46.43%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Albion had a probability of 26.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for an Albion win it was 1-0 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Albion | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
26.56% ( -0.52) | 27% ( -0.11) | 46.43% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 47.3% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.73% ( 0.09) | 57.27% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.89% ( 0.07) | 78.11% ( -0.07) |
| Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.78% ( -0.39) | 37.22% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.99% ( -0.39) | 74.01% ( 0.39) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( 0.34) | 24.66% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.82% ( 0.48) | 59.18% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albion | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.75% Total : 26.56% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 9% ( 0.15)1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.38% Total : 46.43% |
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