SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 21.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Cerrito |
53.95% ( 0) | 24.41% ( -0) | 21.64% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 49.77% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.49% ( 0) | 51.51% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.69% ( 0) | 73.31% ( -0) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.97% ( 0) | 19.02% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.4% ( 0) | 50.59% ( -0.01) |
| Cerrito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.47% ( -0) | 38.53% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.72% | 75.28% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Cerrito |
| 1-0 @ 12.16% 2-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 5.58% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.54% 4-0 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.04% Total : 53.94% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.53% 0-2 @ 3.33% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.5% Total : 21.64% |
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