SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.28%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.89%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
55.02% ( -0.34) | 27.01% ( 0.11) | 17.97% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 38.07% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.82% ( -0.08) | 64.18% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.69% ( -0.06) | 83.32% ( 0.06) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.24% ( -0.18) | 23.76% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.09% ( -0.27) | 57.91% ( 0.27) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.93% ( 0.25) | 50.07% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.3% ( 0.17) | 84.71% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Penarol | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
| 1-0 @ 17.09% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 55.01% | 0-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.03) 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.35% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.86% Total : 17.97% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
