SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 24.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Boston River |
47.29% ( -0.1) | 27.74% ( 0.02) | 24.96% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 44.1% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.26% ( -0.04) | 60.73% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.2% ( -0.03) | 80.79% ( 0.03) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( -0.07) | 25.79% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.25% ( -0.09) | 60.74% ( 0.09) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.43% ( 0.04) | 40.56% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.84% ( 0.04) | 77.16% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 14.17% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 47.28% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.57% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 1.3% Total : 24.96% |
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