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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Oct 20, 2023 at 12.15am UK
Complejo Daniel Marsicano

Boston River
2 - 0
Nacional

Gutierrez (25'), Rodriguez (61')
Franco Allala (38'), Cougo (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Carneiro (51'), Rodriguez (69'), Romero (90+3')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Boston River and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Boston River
Sunday, October 15 at 7.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 2-1 Cerro
Sunday, October 15 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.06%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Boston RiverDrawNacional
26.74% (-0.379 -0.38) 27.2% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 46.06% (0.389 0.39)
Both teams to score 46.91% (-0.232 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.15% (-0.167 -0.17)57.85% (0.167 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.43% (-0.132 -0.13)78.57% (0.13199999999999 0.13)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.62% (-0.41 -0.41)37.38% (0.40900000000001 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.83% (-0.407 -0.41)74.16% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (0.117 0.12)25.09% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.21% (0.161 0.16)59.79% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Boston River 26.74%
    Nacional 46.05%
    Draw 27.2%
Boston RiverDrawNacional
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.28% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.54% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 26.74%
1-1 @ 12.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.38% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 12.96% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 8.97% (0.116 0.12)
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.13% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.07% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 46.05%

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Form Guide
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Boston River
Sunday, October 15 at 7.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 2-0 Maldonado
Sunday, October 8 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 0-1 Penarol
Saturday, September 2 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 1-2 Boston River
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 1-0 Racing
Sunday, August 20 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 0-1 Wanderers
Sunday, July 23 at 4pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 2-1 Cerro
Sunday, October 15 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-2 Nacional
Friday, October 6 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Plaza Colonia
Sunday, September 3 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-2 Nacional
Saturday, August 26 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Nacional
Sunday, August 20 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-2 Nacional (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, August 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores


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