SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.68%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Nacional |
21.63% ( 0.01) | 26.64% ( 0.47) | 51.73% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 43.67% ( -1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.44% ( -1.56) | 59.56% ( 1.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.1% ( -1.21) | 79.9% ( 1.21) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.86% ( -0.89) | 43.14% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.59% ( -0.76) | 79.41% ( 0.76) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.79% ( -0.87) | 23.2% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.9% ( -1.29) | 57.1% ( 1.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.63% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.57)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 14.62% ( 0.48) 0-2 @ 10.68% ( 0.08)1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 5.2% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.19)0-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.54% Total : 51.73% |
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