SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 26 | -19 | 23 |
| 15 | Rentistas | 26 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | Cerrito | 26 | -33 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 26 | -19 | 23 |
| 15 | Rentistas | 26 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | Cerrito | 26 | -33 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rentistas win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Cerrito had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rentistas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Cerrito win was 0-1 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rentistas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rentistas | Draw | Cerrito |
37.94% ( 0.06) | 28.66% ( 0.03) | 33.39% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 45.67% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.22% ( -0.11) | 60.78% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.17% ( -0.08) | 80.82% ( 0.08) |
| Rentistas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% ( -0.02) | 30.92% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.78% ( -0.02) | 67.21% ( 0.02) |
| Cerrito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.11% ( -0.12) | 33.88% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.44% ( -0.13) | 70.55% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rentistas | Draw | Cerrito |
| 1-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 37.94% | 1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.64% | 0-1 @ 11.33% 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 33.38% |
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