Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Rentistas had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Rentistas win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
