SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
41.16% ( -1.17) | 26.41% ( 0.15) | 32.43% ( 1.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.17% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.51% ( -0.32) | 52.49% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.84% ( -0.28) | 74.16% ( 0.27) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( -0.75) | 25.15% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.12% ( -1.04) | 59.87% ( 1.03) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.7% ( 0.53) | 30.29% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.53% ( 0.63) | 66.47% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.48% Total : 41.15% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.18% Total : 32.43% |
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